DraftKings Stock Surges as Analysts Rush to Lift Price Targets

Following a surprise sell-off Friday on the back of a strong first-quarter earnings report, DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) recouped those losses Monday as a slew of analysts boosted price targets on the high-flying stock.

DraftKings
DraftKings stock is highlighted at the Nasdaq market site in New York City. At least nine analysts raised price targets on the stock. (Image: Nasdaq)

On above-average volume, DraftKings gained 5.4% to start the week after at least six analysts lifted price forecasts on the gaming company. That followed at least three such instances over the weekend. While he didn’t join his colleagues in increasing a price target on DraftKings, Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon reiterated an “outperform” rating and $54 price objective on the stock. That implies upside of almost 22.7% from Monday’s close.

Beynon pointed to DraftKings getting a handle on expenses as well as the operator’s compelling free cash flow (FCF) traits as among the reasons for his bullish view.

Most important, in our view, DKNG continues to hold share (~30%) in a market that continues to grow,” observed Beynon. “Bottom line, we don’t believe there are risks to DKNG’s 15-30% multi-year top-line growth path, and we believe its data analytic capabilities bode well for adjacent markets. Off or our ’26E earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, DKNG trades at 13.3x.”

Last week, the gaming company posted an unexpected first-quarter profit on the basis of non-generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP) while boosting the midpoint of its 2024 EBITDA and revenue guidance.

DraftKings Stock Offers ‘Constructive Setup’

In addition to management’s ability to rein in costs, DraftKings has been one of the best-performing gaming stocks since the start of 2023 because the operator allayed concerns about profitability, cash burn, and valuation.

As a result of increasingly sturdy fundamentals and rising profitability, DraftKings is arguably undervalued relative to the broader universe of emerging growth stocks, and the shares now offer a “constructive setup,” according to Stifel analyst Jeffrey Stantial.

“We continue to see a constructive setup into the remainder of 2024 as underlying fundamentals remain healthy (with runway left, in our view), Jackpocket cross-sell should prove a material uplift, and DraftKings’ capital allocation update at Q2 earnings may include initial return of capital,” he wrote in a report to clients.

Stantial, who reiterated a “buy” rating on the stock while raising his price target to $51 from $50, said it’s possible that when DraftKings reports second-quarter earnings, the company could unveil some form of capital return to shareholders, though he didn’t say if buybacks or dividends were more likely.

Cross-Selling Catalyst for DraftKings Stock, Too

DraftKings has an established history of cross-selling new offerings to clients. It was successful in transitioning many daily fantasy sports (DFS) competitors to online sports betting and it’s recognized similar benefits by marketing iGaming to sports bettors in the five states in which it offers the former.

Stantial believes the gaming company can realize similar synergies with online lottery provider Jackpocket, which DraftKings announced the $750 million acquisition of in February.

“We see tailwinds here persisting at minimum through the remainder of 2024, with upside thereafter as management executes on an attractive & untapped cross-sell opportunity with Jackpocket,” said the Stifel analyst.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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