High Roller Shares Slide as Prediction Market Update Fails to Lift Stock

Key Points

  • High Roller stock fell late Tuesday after soft Q2 financial results muted enthusiasm around its event contract plans
  • Net revenue slid 52% year-over-year to $2.8 million as the company pivoted away from legacy iGaming assets
  • CEO Seth Young assured investors that Q2 laid essential groundwork, securing key NFA registration and launching consumer marketing ahead of release

Shares of High Roller Technologies (NYSE: ROLR) tumbled in late trading Tuesday after the gaming company and aspiring prediction market operator delivered a disappointing set of second-quarter results, overshadowing more clarity on its event contract plans.

High Roller
The High Roller Technologies logo. The stock slumped despite signs of progress on the prediction market front. (Image: High Roller Technologies)

The Las Vegas-based iGaming operator is morphing into a prediction market player, which has previously acted as a catalyst for the micro-cap stock. In conjunction with the earnings update, High Roller told investors it made some prediction market strides in the June quarter.

“The second quarter was, above all, about doing the work,” said CEO Seth Young in a statement. “Our focus this quarter was building, with coordinated execution across product, technology, compliance, and operations to advance the ROLR platform toward commercial readiness.”

During the recently completed quarter, High Roller obtained approval from the National Futures Association (NFA) “and registered as a Guaranteed Introducing Broker” – important regulatory steps toward bringing a consumer-facing yes/no exchange to life.

More High Roller Prediction Market Progress

In news that sent its stock surging in April, High Roller told investors it will partner with Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA) on its prediction market rollout. That agreement remains active, tethering High Roller to one of the first CFTC-regulated exchanges to offer U.S. sports event contracts—and one that already powers event trading for major brands like Fanatics and FanDuel.

Young also noted that in the second quarter, High Roller debuted a free-to-play prediction challenge aimed at drumming up familiarity with ROLR.com and the ROLR brand, which will be the company’s prediction market label. High Roller also provided some updates on its relationship with Crypto.com.

“Under the agreement, High Roller plans to operate as a Guaranteed Introducing Broker and provide access to CDNA event contracts across finance, sports and entertainment categories through the ROLR platform,” according to the statement.

The company also noted that Crypto.com’s OG platform will be ROLR’s introducing broker when the platform gets off the ground.

High Roller Bullish on Prediction Markets

In the April through June period, High Roller lost 22 cents a share on sales of $2.81 million with the latter figure missing analysts’ estimate by $190,000. However, the company remains undaunted in its views regarding the long-term trajectory of the event contract industry.

Citing research from Macquarie estimating that prediction market volume could swell to $1.5 trillion by 2030 and a separate report from Bernstein forecasting that the industry will reach $1 trillion in volume by that year, High Roller waxed bullish on the event contract opportunity set.

“The prediction market category continues to expand rapidly, with multiple third-party industry forecasts pointing to a trillion-dollar annual trading-volume opportunity by the end of the decade,” according to the press release.

High Roller concluded the quarter with $18 million in cash, or nearly a quarter of its market value of $73.16 million.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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