Polymarket Testing Parlays, er Combos, Ahead of Football Season

Key Points

  • Polymarket is reportedly testing combination bets on its U.S. platform
  • The prediction market operator self-certified those wagers several months ago
  • Polymarket U.S. began testing combos earlier this month, but its offshore platform has been offering that option since June

Polymarket U.S. is beta testing combination bets, also known as combos, ahead of the start of the 2026 football season.

Polymarket lawsuit, Strategy Bitcoin sale, MicroStrategy, prediction markets, UMA oracle, Bitcoin
Polymarket is beta testing combos, or parlays, in the U.S. (Image: Shutterstock)

The prediction market operator refers to the combined contract wagers as Combinatorial Athletic Outcome Contracts, or CAOCs. Polymarket filed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to self-certify combos — prediction market parlance for parlays — in May. That’s the same month in which the company commenced its phased rollout in the U.S.

Under the CFTC self-certification process, prediction market operators file plans with the regulator to offer new event contracts, declaring go-live dates. If the regulator doesn’t object or get involved in some way, companies can bring forth fresh event contracts or combos with minimal interference.

Still, it took Polymarket about 10 weeks to start beta testing of its CAOCs in the U.S. By some accounts, combos, in quiet fashion, on Polymarket U.S. have accounted for nearly 16,200 trades and north of $7.4 million in volume this month. Polymarket currently allows traders to combine up to 10 legs in a single wager.

Polymarket Combo Foray Is an Important Step

Polymarket’s push into combos or parlays is important on multiple fronts. Multi-leg bets account for a significant percentage of prediction volume in the U.S., but in a report out earlier this month, Eilers & Krejcik Gaming (EKG) analyst Brad Allen points out that one company – not Polymarket – controls nearly all of the U.S. market for prediction market sports parlays.

Competitors remain undaunted. As Allen points out, DraftKings, Fanatics, FanDuel and Underdog, among others, are ramping up prediction market combo efforts, indicating that they believe that the stranglehold possessed by one company on sports event contract combos can be disrupted.

“Combo is not a niche feature but a central product layer—and potentially the defining one—in determining who captures mainstream sports PM demand,” observes Allen.

In a recent report, Stifel analyst Jeffrey Stantial points out that U.S. prediction volume climbed to $49 billion last month with sports and combos, which are essentially all sports, accounting for approximately 80% of total transactions.

Understanding Polymarket Parlay Plumbing

Combos on Polymarket function differently than what bettors and traders see on traditional sportsbooks and other prediction markets for that matter.

When building a multi-leg bet, a Polymarket trader must send a request-for-quote (RFQ) that a market maker responds to in a specific amount of time. Traders must use Polymarket’s Application Programming Interface (API) technology to be able to take the “no” side of some or all of the legs in the combo.

Payouts on Polymarket are similar to what parlay bettors find on sportsbooks. Say a bettor or trader constructs a 10-leg combo. They need all 10 legs to resolve in their favor to win.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

Comments icon

Conversation (0)

+ Add a comment

Be the first to comment on this article.

Write a comment

Your email address will not be published.