Opinion On-Chain Prediction Market Raises $20 Million

  • Company raised $20 million in a pre-Series A round
  • The platform isn’t available in the US…
  • …But it’s one of the largest prediction markets in the world

Opinion Labs, the company behind the Opinion Trade prediction, raised $20 million from several investors in a pre-Series A round.

Opinion
Prediction markets operator Opinion raised $20 million in a pre-Series A round. (Image: GlobeNewswire)

Decasonic, Hack VC, Jump Crypto, and Primitive Ventures, among others, participated in the financing round, adding to Wednesday’s prediction markets capital raising news. Like rival Polymarket, Opinion settles event contracts on-chain. In this case, the blockchain in question is the BNB Chain. That’s a different methodology than the centralized settlement approach employed by Kalshi.

An estimated valuation on Opinion wasn’t revealed, but it is clear that venture investors remain enthusiastic about backing prediction market operators. Opinion may be appealing to some of those financiers because it hasn’t reached Series A funding, meaning investors don’t have to drop hundreds of millions or billions of dollars to get a piece of the action as they would with Kalshi and Polymarket.

As of last November, both of those companies were valued at least $10 billion. News of Kalshi’s valuation ascending to $11 billion arrives amid speculation that rival Polymarket is in talks on another financing round that could push its multiple to at least $12 billion, though there is some talk investors could value Polymarket as high as $15 billion.

How big is Opinion?

Opinion is perhaps the biggest prediction market firm most Americans haven’t heard of and that makes sense because the platform isn’t available in this country. It’s also prohibited in China.

Said another way, the company’s success is commendable when considering its product is off limits to traders in the world’s two largest economies. Indeed, Opinion has found success in the global prediction markets space. Recent data indicate the company is commanding more than half of global even contract fees and a third of volume, putting in the category of a viable rival to Kalshi and Polymarket.

Those data points could encourage more professional investors to evaluate Opinion even as cryptocurrency prices tumble. This is Opinion’s second capital raise as it previously raised $5 million from YZi Labs, Animoca Ventures and others.

Over the past week, Opinion’s volume was third behind only Kalshi and Polymarket. Dune Analytics data indicate the company has north of 185,000 customers.

Opinion Separates Itself from Rivals

While it offers a decent amount of sports event contracts, Opinion distinguishes itself from rivals like Kalshi and Robinhood by not focusing on single-game derivatives. Nor does it entice bettors with parlays.

Rather, the company leans more into event contracts based on cryptocurrency prices, macroeconomic news, politics, pop culture and even token-generating events (TGEs), among other categories. In fact, only a small number of the newest contracts available on Opinion are related to sports.

Speaking of TGEs, Polymarket traders are pricing in high likelihood Opinion will launch a native token under the ticker “OPN” perhaps as soon as this month and it appears that event is foregone conclusion to occur before the end of March.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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