Chris Jonat’s most popular posts
How Prediction Markets Called the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, and What It Means for 2026
Key highlights In the final hour before the October 2025 announcement, Maria Corina Machado's Polymarket odds jumped from under 4% to about 69%, correctly calling the winner. The surge came from newly created accounts with no prior betting history, and Norwegian officials opened a formal leak...
September 10, 2026
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5 min read
Are Prediction Markets Accurate? What the Data Really Shows
September 3, 2026
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9 min read
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Arbitrage Betting Explained: How Arbing Works, Risks, and Prediction Market Arbs
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2024 Election Betting Odds: Who’s The Next President?
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What Happens in Vegas Stays in Vegas, Except for the Tourists
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Oh I Wanna Spin With Somebody: A Vegas Showdown With The Whitney Houston Slot Machine
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