Chris Jonat’s most popular posts
Are Prediction Markets Accurate? What the Data Really Shows
How often do prediction markets hit the target? Key Takeaways Prediction markets have a solid overall track record. The Iowa Electronic Markets, one of the longest-running academic markets, beat the matching opinion poll on roughly three out of every four days researchers checked across five presidential...
September 3, 2026
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9 min read
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R. Paul Wilson On: Tonk, The Fast-Moving Game For Gamblers
May 1, 2023
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2024 Election Betting Odds: Who’s The Next President?
January 19, 2024
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Brooke Keaton
What Happens in Vegas Stays in Vegas, Except for the Tourists
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Oh I Wanna Spin With Somebody: A Vegas Showdown With The Whitney Houston Slot Machine
August 22, 2025
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11 min read