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Predictions

Who regulates predictions markets?
Predictions

Who Regulates Prediction Markets?

Key takeaways CFTC prediction markets oversight dates back to 2004, when the agency began treating event contracts as derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act. A 2026 split between two federal appeals courts, one backing federal authority and one backing state gambling law, has set up a...

September 17, 2026 8 min read
Nobel Peace Prize
Predictions

How Prediction Markets Called the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, and What It Means for 2026

Key highlights In the final hour before the October 2025 announcement, Maria Corina Machado's Polymarket odds jumped from under 4% to about 69%, correctly calling the winner. The surge came from newly created accounts with no prior betting history, and Norwegian officials opened a formal leak...

September 10, 2026 5 min read
A dartboard with an arrow in the bullseye
Predictions

Are Prediction Markets Accurate? What the Data Really Shows

How often do prediction markets hit the target? Key Takeaways Prediction markets have a solid overall track record. The Iowa...
September 3, 2026 9 min read
Predictions

Exclusive: 2x Super Bowl champion Phil Simms on Jaxson Dart, John Harbaugh and the Giants prospects

NFL insider Jason La Canfora, on behalf of casino.org, caught up with New York Giants legend, Phil Simms, on the...
July 27, 2026 6 min read
Guides, Predictions

Prediction Market Trends 2026

Key Takeaways Prediction markets are going mainstream in 2026, with billions in trading volume and a growing base of regular...
March 20, 2026 6 min read
Predictions

Prediction Market Investment Strategies for Smarter Risk and Better Timing

Key Takeaways Good prediction market investment strategies start with price discipline, not bold predictions. The best traders focus on probability...
March 19, 2026 9 min read
Guides, Predictions, Sports Betting

Prediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks (vs. Betting Exchanges) Where Should You Bet in 2026 

Key Takeaways  Sportsbooks are the most familiar option and the easiest to use, but the book controls pricing, sets limits, and can...
March 5, 2026 6 min read
Guides, Predictions

How are Prediction Markets Taxed in 2026?

Key takeaways In the US, prediction market taxes usually come down to classification, is it treated as gambling, or as...
February 28, 2026 5 min read
Guides, Predictions

How Do Prediction Markets Work? 

Key takeaways  Prediction markets are exchange-traded event contracts where users buy/sell outcome-based contracts (often digital) on real-world events; winners get paid...
February 25, 2026 10 min read
Claw machine gambling
Predictions

Do Arcades And Claw Machines Turn Kids Into Gamblers?

There’s nothing new about it. Parents give kids rolls of quarters to pour into arcade machines, buying them plenty of...
January 20, 2023 5 min read