tastytrade Forges Into Prediction Markets, Focusing on Traders, not Bettors

Key Points

  • tastytrade unveiled its prediction market today
  • The brokerage firm is focusing on cryptocurrency and financial derivatives, not sports event contracts
  • It’s partnering with Apex Fintech Solutions

tastytrade, an options brokerage house well-known to sophisticated retail traders, launched its prediction market platform today with an emphasis on various financial derivatives.

tastytrade
The tastytrade logo. The company rolled out its prediction market today. (Image: tastytrade)

Known as “Prediction Markets,” the tastytrade offering is supported by Apex Fintech Solutions and is the first brokerage firm to use Apex’s Futures Clearing Merchant (FCM) infrastructure. In prediction markets, an FCM is essential because the entity is a regulated conduit between the customer and the exchange. FCMs custody customer funds, manage collateral and serve other compliance functions.

The tastytrade platform is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which oversees prediction markets in this country.

“Contracts resolve to a straightforward yes-or-no outcome, with pricing that reflects real-time probabilities. The result is a trading experience built for how active traders think: fast, focused, and driven by catalysts, not just price charts,” according to a statement issued by the Chicago-based brokerage house.

Traders can access tastytrade’s yes/no offering on a 24/7 basis directly from the tastytrade platform, but event contracts will be traded in what the company described as “segregated accounts.”

tastytrade Focusing on Finance

With its event contract platform, tastytrade is staying in its lane, focusing on financial derivatives that are in the wheelhouses of its client base.

The company is offering yes/no derivatives on instruments such as equity indexes, Treasury yields and volatility gauges as well as on major economic data reports, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI), nonfarm payrolls and GDP.

The brokerage house is also offering event contracts on several of the largest digital currencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP. That’s a potentially shrewd move because cryptocurrency is one of the fastest-growing non-sports segments in the prediction market industry.

The platform also features yes/no derivatives on some of the most widely traded commodities, such as copper, crude oil, gold, natural gas and silver.

“Contracts trade across timeframes from hourly to yearly, giving traders the flexibility to take a position when it matters most,” according to tastytrade.

No Sports on tastytrade Prediction Market

To some industry observers and traders, tastytrade’s exclusion of sports event contracts may be noteworthy, but it’s a smart move when considering it is those derivatives that have the broader prediction market industry in legal and regulatory crosshairs across the U.S.

Plus there’s evidence of brokerage firms and exchange operators finding success with yes/no derivatives while leaving sports out of the equation with Interactive Brokers (NASDAQ: IBKR) standing as one prime example.

As for tastytrade, it has the potential to be a legitimate competitor in the non-sports side of the prediction market industry as it has, by one estimate, approximately 500,000 customers. Another estimate indicates the average account balance is $12,000.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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