Smart Video Poker Players Hamper Casino Profits, Says Study

A small cohort of video poker bettors known as advantage players (APs) have the skills to be a drag on casino profits, according to a new study.

STN Charms
A video poker machine at a Stations casino. Technology could help gaming companies limit loss from highly skilled video poker players. (Image: STN Charms)

Acres Manufacturing Company, which manufactures next-generation customer loyalty technology and services for casino operators, leveraged its Video Poker Analyzer tool to examine how APs can beat the house more often than not while commanding an outsized share of loyalty rewards.

Collectively, these players caused a loss to the casino equivalent to 25.64% of its carded win on video poker during the period of the study,” according to Acres. “Furthermore, over two-thirds of the APs profited from their play during the period. Because the group accounted for 26% of video poker coin-in, the casino’s loyalty program rewarded each AP significantly more than higher margin players.”

Fortunately for casino operators, such players comprise just 1% of guests. The Acres survey examined three million hands played by 1,000 APs in the Las Vegas locals’ market.

Video Poker Still Profitability Fixture for Casinos

In fiscal 2023, Nevada casinos generated nearly $30 billion in sales, and on the gross gaming revenue (GGR) side of the ledger, slots and other gaming machines — the category in which video poker resides — were major contributors, as is usually the case.

Gaming devices are more profitable for casino operators because there’s less labor cost and overhead involved than with table games. Those are among the reasons the industry has added gaming devices, including video poker machines, in recent years, sometimes at the expense of table games.

In Las Vegas, video poker is a staple at locals’ casinos. Operators know as much, and while 99% of players don’t fall into the advantage category, it could be beneficial to “the house” to mitigate the impact of too many tier credits and points being allocated to select players. After all, those points can be redeemed for freebies on other profit generators, including food and beverage and rooms.

Tech Important in Identifying Video Poker APs

As is the case with nearly every other industry, casino gaming is increasingly technology-centric, and tech can be pivotal in terms of operators leveling the playing field with highly skilled video poker players.

Acres said its Video Poker Analyzer analyzes players’ decisions against the optimal strategy for each hand dealt. It then identifies players’ mistakes, assigning those errors a dollar value, which helps operators better predict profit and loss created by a particular bettor.

“A casino operator deploying Video Poker Analyzer may see more than a 45% upside to its video poker profits through a combination of excluding and reducing unprofitable APs from the active player base and through the redeployment of valuable marketing dollars to those players with the highest upside potential,” concluded Acres.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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  • E
    Erik March 26, 2024
    So they basically used the rewards system via the players card to spy on a player(s) thinking they have an advantage on the way they… So they basically used the rewards system via the players card to spy on a player(s) thinking they have an advantage on the way they play the game. That is as low as it gets! Mikey is right the casinos cheat!
    Reply
  • DC
    Daniel Dream Cat March 23, 2024
    Holy crap, these people just confessed to criminal activity. I've contacted the FBI. There are laws related to gambling in this country and everything this… Holy crap, these people just confessed to criminal activity. I've contacted the FBI. There are laws related to gambling in this country and everything this article discusses is highly illegal. You can't spy on your 'customers' to exclude them if they aren't cheating. You will soon be hearing from law enforcement. Prepare yourselves for a stint in prison.
    Reply
  • D
    Devon March 23, 2024
    Can't have anyone winning money or eating into those billions of profits; better redo the rewards system to make sure no one can win.
    Reply
  • D
    DanZee March 23, 2024
    So in other words, if you know what you're doing, the casinos don't want you.
    Reply

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