Ron Baron Still Bullish on Red Rock Stock, Sell-Side Concurs

Key Points

  • Famed fund manager sees Red Rock’s investments in various Las Vegas casinos paying off over the long-term
  • His firm, Baron Capital, is a long-time Red Rock investor
  • The stock is a top 10 holding in Baron Capital’s flagship ETF

Amid construction disruption at several of its Las Vegas casinos, Red Rock Resorts (NASDAQ: RRR) stock is off 10% year-to-date, but some well-known investors remain bullish on the name.

Supreme Court Red Rock Casino Culinary Union
Red Rock Casino in Summerlin, Nevada. Ron Baron is bullish on the stock. (Image: Shutterstock)

That group includes Baron Capital founder Ron Baron. In a recently released commentary to investors of the Baron First Principles ETF (NYSE: RONB) – the firm’s flagship exchange traded fund (ETF) – the well-known fund manager lauded Red Rock for its strong balance sheet, adding the stock is attractive compared to what its long-term prospects are.

“The company’s balance sheet remains strong with increased liquidity for further capital investment and shareholder returns,” wrote Baron. “We believe the stock remains attractive compared to what we believe the business can become in time.”

Red Rock stock accounts for 2.61% of the RONB portfolio, making it the ETF’s tenth-largest holding. The fund debuted last December and has $489.62 million in assets under management.

Red Rock Stock Will Make it Through Construction Disruption

This year, the “strike” against Red Rock stock is that financial results are being modestly dinged due to construction disruption at the Durango Casino & Resort in Southwest Las Vegas, Green Valley Ranch and Sunset Station.

However, the prevailing wisdom from the company, the buy-side and the sell-side is Red Rock’s enhancement efforts are examples of near-term pain, long-term gain, meaning improvements to the aforementioned Las Vegas Valley casinos will pay off over the long haul.

In the second quarter “construction disruption dissipated and investors looked ahead to the benefits of the company’s recent investments in its resorts,” added Baron. “This should result in increased earnings and cash flow and allow the company to continue to invest in its properties while returning capital to shareholders.”

Red Rock is the only gaming stock in RONB, but another Baron ETF holds shares of Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN).

Sell-Side Likes Red Rock Stock, Too

Due in part to its focus on the booming Las Vegas locals market, Red Rock is beloved by sell-side analysts, too. As just one example, earlier this week Texas Capital analyst David Bain initiated coverage of the stock with a “buy” rating and a $72 price target, implying potential upside of nearly 33% from current levels.

The analyst notes that with the Las Vegas area experiencing a population boom, Red Rock is garnering more of the locals segment’s wallet share due to a willingness to invest in its properties while commanding strong return on investment from those expenditures. He also pointed to the operator’s substantial real estate holdings as a potential spark for the stock.

Red Rock historically generates “20%+ IRR on greenfield projects combines with its ~442-acre Nevada land bank, we believe offering a clear, unmatched, long-term growth pipeline,” observes Bain. “We anticipate RRR’s next project announcement by 1H27, another relatively near-term stock catalyst, in our view.”

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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