Polymarket Pulls ‘Cornell 7’ Rape Case Bets After Backlash

Key Points

  • Traders priced a 28% chance that at least one defendant would face felony sex-crime charges by January 31
  • The seven fraternity members deny allegations in a civil lawsuit, and none has been criminally charged
  • Campaigners condemned the market as exploitative and challenged Polymarket's high-profile celebrity ambassadors over their promotional ties

Prediction-market giant Polymarket pulled a betting market on the Cornell University gang-rape case Monday (Oct. 19) after a backlash from anti-sexual violence campaigners, according to Front Office Sports, which first reported the controversy.

Polymarket, Cornell 7, prediction markets, Cornell University rape allegations, LeBron James
Polymarket initially attempted to defend the controversial market before pulling it Monday amid criticism that it was allowing users to profit from sexual assault allegations. (Polymarket)

Launched September 30 on Polymarket’s international platform, the market asked whether any of the seven accused fraternity members would be charged with a felony sex crime by January 31, 2027. The market attracted $451,633 in trading volume before its removal.

At that time, traders were pricing the probability of charges being filed at around 28%. The market was not available through Polymarket’s separately operated US app.

‘Dehumanizing, Disgusting, and Dangerous’

The market concerned allegations made by a former Cornell student, identified in court documents as Jane Doe, who claims she was drugged and gang-raped at the Chi Phi fraternity house in October 2024.

In a civil lawsuit filed September 16, Doe alleges that seven fraternity members sexually assaulted her after supplying her with alcohol, marijuana, and ketamine.

The defendants have denied wrongdoing, and none has been criminally charged.

Local prosecutors initially declined to pursue charges, but the case was reopened in the wake of the lawsuit and widespread public criticism. New York Gov. Kathy Hochul subsequently appointed Attorney General Letitia James as special prosecutor.

The Polymarket betting market prompted outrage among advocates, including attorney Cheyenne Hunt, who called it “dehumanizing, disgusting, and dangerous” in an Instagram post.

Sexual assault advocacy nonprofit I Have The Right To also condemned the market, accusing Polymarket of turning alleged sexual violence into a financial opportunity.

Critics also questioned whether markets tied to criminal proceedings could create financial incentives to interfere with investigations or prosecutions.

Celebrity Endorsers Targeted

The controversy threatened to embarrass Polymarket’s growing roster of celebrity endorsers, including NBA superstar LeBron James, former NFL quarterback Eli Manning, and baseball legend Derek Jeter.

According to Front Office Sports, James receives $15 million annually to promote the platform. Advocates called on celebrity ambassadors to reconsider their association with the company.

Polymarket initially attempted to defend the market.

“This case, and sexual assault on college campuses more broadly, are deeply important issues, and markets bring objective, data-driven insight into how a matter like this is moving through the legal system, on a topic that deserves far more transparency and honest attention,” a spokesperson told Front Office Sports.

The company subsequently acknowledged the backlash, telling the Associated Press it had heard public objections “loud and clear” and removed the market.

Polymarket has previously attracted criticism for offering wagers involving criminal cases, including the murder trials of Massachusetts mother Lindsay Clancy and Tyler Robinson, the Utah man accused of assassinating conservative activist Charlie Kirk.

This has raised fears that prediction-market gamblers could attempt to influence jurors or interfere with verdicts.

Philip Conneller
Philip Conneller Senior Reporter

In Philip Conneller’s eight years with Casino.org, he has covered the gaming industry from Las Vegas to Macau and everything in between. He currently focuses his coverage on gaming law, white-collar crime, global money laundering, tribal gaming, politics, and regulation.

Philip was the original features editor for poker’s Bluff Magazine and editor for Bluff Europe, which he helped launch. His writing has also been featured in ESPN, Forbes, Time Out, The Sun, and The Daily Star, as well as iGaming Business, eGaming Review, and numerous other industry news and tech websites.

His news stories for Casino.org/news have been linked by The Washington Post, The Daily Mail, People Magazine, and Jimmy Fallon's Tonight Show, among many others.

Philip once won $20,000 with 7-2 off-suit. He has been reprimanded for unwittingly playing Elton John’s piano on two separate occasions on both sides of the Atlantic.

He became a writer because he is a lousy pianist.

Philip lives outside London with his wife and children, where he spends his time agonizing about Arsenal FC.

Contact Philip at philip.conneller@casino.org.

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