Novig, Underdog Surge in Fast-Growing Prediction Market Combos

Key Points

  • Novig and Underdog are rapidly gaining ground in prediction market "combos"—the industry's term for parlays
  • Both platforms are relative newcomers to the fast-growing event-contract market, having launched nationwide this summer
  • While one major operator currently controls the majority of multi-leg volume, market data shows significant opportunity for rivals to capture share

Multi-leg “combos” are becoming a primary driver for sports prediction markets, as platforms like Novig and Underdog aggressively expand their parlay offerings.

Underdog Sports Missouri sports betting
The Underdog logo. The company is asserting itself in the prediction market sports combos space. (Image: Underdog Sports)

While a single operator still holds the lion’s share of combo volume across regulated U.S. prediction markets, new entrants Novig and Underdog are proving there is plenty of room to capture market share in this lucrative, sports-centric niche.

In a recent report, Eilers & Krejcik Gaming (EKG) analyst Brad Allen noted that Underdog’s combo percentage of overall sports contract volume reached 48.3% in August, while Novig posted a 35.5% share.

“Underdog is another standout, ramping quickly from a standing start in July to second-best combo percentage in the market at 48.3%,” notes Allen. “That surge reflects lower contract breadth, but also a customer base used to building parlays in the core Underdog pick’em product.”

Traders’ appetite for prediction market combos is clearly reflected in the numbers. Multi-leg trades—the vast majority focused on sports derivatives—accounted for fully half of industry-wide contract volume in August, up from just 14% in February, according to EKG data.

Novig, Underdog Off to Hot Starts

Only one exchange generated a higher percentage of combo contract volume last month than Underdog. Novig ranked fourth on that metric, with Crypto.com’s Nadex—which clears trades for multiple platforms—holding the third spot.

The swift ascent of both Novig and Underdog up the contract volume leaderboard is particularly notable given their short operating histories.

Underdog launched its wholly owned prediction market exchange in July while Novig debuted its yes/no, sports-focused betting exchange on a nationwide basis on Aug. 4.

Beyond multi-leg volume percentages, secondary metrics show Novig and Underdog are among the fastest-growing players in the sector—a trajectory likely to build momentum as football season drives customer acquisition.

Don’t Forget DraftKings

DraftKings also looms large in the combo narrative. While multi-leg wagers represented just 1.5% of its overall contract volume in August, that figure is misleading: DraftKings did not roll out combos on its exchange until late in the month.

That late rollout weighed down DraftKings’ monthly averages, but the platform “traded 11 million [in combos] in four days, which represented ~36% of its total contract volume during that time,” Allen noted.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

Comments icon

Conversation (0)

+ Add a comment

Be the first to comment on this article.

Write a comment

Your email address will not be published.