Google Updates Advertising Polices with Prediction Market Guidance

Key Points

  • For the first time, Google Ads’ primary policy document includes a prediction market section
  • The internet search company previously updated some prediction market advertising guidelines
  • Advertisers must possess the necessary licenses to run yes/no exchanges in the U.S.

For the first time, Google, the largest provider of internet search services, refreshed its Google Ads policy guidelines to include dedicated guidance on prediction markets.

Google Play
Google Ads revealed a policy update including a specific prediction market section. (Image: Getty Images)

In the past, the California-based company has amended and altered policies pertaining to ads run by prediction market companies, but a document released last week marks the first time Google featured dedicated prediction market guidance in its ad policies.

Citing “inherent complexities, speculative nature, and unique regulatory classification involved in trading Prediction Market contracts and related products,” Google is making clear that there are some geographic parameters regarding prediction market advertising.

“The products and ads comply with all local laws, financial regulations, industry standards and all other Google Ads Policies. Advertisers are expected to do their own research on the local regulations for any location their ads target and comply with these,” according to the policy update. “The targeted location is eligible for certification for advertising under this policy.”

Although the company doesn’t elaborate on specific geographic prohibitions, it may be reasonable to infer from the updated protocols that yes/no exchanges highlighting their sports menus cannot run those ads in Nevada – a state that bars sports event contracts.

Better Be Regulated to Advertise on Google

The internet search behemoth doesn’t mention the licenses by name, but Google is also making clear that prospective prediction market advertisers have the permits necessary to operate all-or-nothing exchanges in the U.S. and that those companies are in compliance with regulators’ demands.

“The advertiser is a licensed Prediction Market provider that holds all applicable local financial, commodity, and/or gaming licenses, including those required as part of Google’s certification process,” according to the policy document.

In order to run a domestic prediction market, operators must have a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Companies seeking to run vertically integrated exchanges while taking custody of client funds must hold the Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) designation from the National Futures Association (NFA).

All prediction markets must procure “certification and approval from Google to run ads about these products.”

Google Gambling Advertising Policies

Google isn’t “picking on” prediction markets. The internet search provider has long had specific policies pertaining to wagering companies, including sportsbook operators, and in some cases, has taken a hard line against perceived violators.

“Gambling ads must target approved countries, have a landing page that displays information about responsible gambling, and never target minors. Check local regulations for the areas you want to target,” according to the technology company.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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