Kraken Could Be Next Crypto Broker to Enter Prediction Markets

  • The cyrptocurrency brokerage house is planning a 2026 prediction markets push.
  • It obtained the related licensing via an October acquisition.
  • Kraken would join several rivals in prediction markets space.

Industry observers positioning 2026 prediction markets bingo cards ought to ensure they’ve got Kraken on their lists because it appears likely the cryptocurrency brokerage firm will enter the space in the new year.

Kraken
A Kraken logo. The company will enter the prediction markets industry in 2026. (Image: Business Wire)

Mark Greenberg, Kraken’s global head of consumer, made comments to that effect in a Wednesday interview with CNBC, noting prediction markets enjoyed a big year in 2025 and next year could bring further expansion of that trend.

(Prediction markets are) a way to take information and alpha and your opinions on what’s going to change in the world and be able to prove that end,” Greenberg told CNBC.

He said Kraken is looking forward to bringing prediction markets to its customers in the new year, calling it a “fantastic opportunity” for the firm’s clients to trade more and have greater access to new trading vehicles.

Kraken Prediction Market Entry Well-Telegraphed

It’s not surprising Kraken is targeting prediction markets. In October, the company acquired Small Exchange from IG Group for $100 million, providing the buyer with the licensing needed to offer event contracts in the US.

Several Kraken leveraged similar acquisitions to pave their ways into the prediction markets industry because those deals are often more efficient than waiting on regulatory approval for the related permits. Small Exchange is a designated contract market (DCM) licensed by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) — designations necessary for companies to offer exchange-listed derivatives, including yes/no event contracts, in the US.

Greenberg told CNBC Kraken is optimistic on the “connections between prediction markets and traditional markets over the year to come.”

The executive didn’t comment on whether Kraken will partner with an established event contracts platform as rival Coinbase is doing with Kalshi or if it will offer an in-house prediction market platform as does competitor Crypto.com.

Crypto, Prediction Markets Continue Intersecting

With Kraken joining the party in 2026, that company will be the latest cryptocurrency broker in the prediction markets arena joining rivals Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Gemini Space Station. Not to mention Robinhood Markets, which is a traditional brokerage platform with significant digital currency exposure.

The cryptocurrency/prediction markets union, which many experts believe as in the early innings of its growth spurt, is considered by some to be natural and practical. The growth of blockchain technology and the expansion of stablecoins are among the factors driving the onchain use cases for the crypto/prediction markets relationship.

Another way of looking at that scenario is that prediction markets bring a new use case for cryptocurrency forward, potentially providing important validation to an asset class that like prediction markets is still young.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

Comments icon

Conversation (0)

+ Add a comment

Be the first to comment on this article.

Write a comment

Your email address will not be published.