Big Brother Season 28 Odds: Who Are The Favorites?

Big Brother is a global phenomenon that dates back to 1999. The twenty-eighth (yes, you read that right) season of the US version is well underway, having premiered on CBS on July 9. With a trading volume of over $80,000 on Polymarket, it’s a competitive one.

There’s currently little difference in the odds between Dee, an entrepreneur from Miami, and 42-year-old Rick from Macon, Georgia. This season’s theme is time travel, so I’ve looked into the future to see who could be the best value picks.

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Big Brother Season 28 Winner Prediction Markets

It’s been a busy start to Big Brother 28. Houseguests competing for the $750,000 prize money this year include a drag queen, MMA fighter, rocket scientist, and pickleball coach. The Power of Veto, nominations, and evictions add to the entertainment, along with the “BB Time Capsule”.

It’s not just the winner that you can buy and sell contracts on at Polymarket. These are some of the options for traders related to this reality show giant:

• Big Brother Season 28 Winner
• Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place
• Who will be evicted?
• What will be said during the episode?

Dee Valladares | Yes 24¢ | 24% Chance

Dee is no stranger to reality TV. The Cuban personality appeared in Survivor seasons 45 and 50. After producers teased fans with a mystery replacement for Rachel Reilly, Valladares was revealed during the “Big Brother: Unlocked” spinoff show on July 10. 

Her odds on Polymarket were 49% three days later, but following the initial hype, her probability has dropped to 24%. With a reality TV win already under her belt, buying “Yes” on Valladares at this early stage could be fruitful if she reaches the show’s closing stages. She also tops the list of contenders for the Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place market.

Rick Devens | Yes 17.3¢ | 17% Chance

News anchor Devens is another reality show veteran. The Survivor 50 contestant has already won the Diamond Power of Veto, and his appearance on BB28 is a major factor behind the show’s impressive ratings. 

Devens’ alliance with Valladares has been one of the main talking points of the opening weeks. The duo has regularly dominated episodes and even seems to have producers eating out of their palm. 

It’s therefore no surprise that Devens is among the favorites on Polymarket. The anchor of WGXA Morning News in Macon currently has a 17% chance of winning, up from 7.5% on July 25. 

Barrett Pfeiffer | Yes 6.5¢ | 7% Chance

It’s hard to get behind someone who describes themselves as “giggly, charming, and spicy”. However, the Jumbotron engineer is among the frontrunners. His odds on Polymarket have dropped over the last 7 days, having once been among the favorites. 

Pfeiffer survived the Week 3 and 4 evictions, but there are question marks surrounding his strategy. This is despite the 27-year-old hosting the “Our Reality” podcast, which regularly discusses Big Brother. 

Drew Campbell | Yes 9.5¢ | 8% Chance

It’s always worth keeping tabs on the youngest housemate. This year’s title goes to dental assistant Drew. The 22-year-old is another with reality TV experience. Don’t get too excited, it was on the inaugural season of MrBeast’s “Beast Games”. 

However, Drew is already causing trouble in the house. Many have clocked his questionable strategy, as he bids to turn others against each other for his own benefit. This is perhaps why his odds have dropped from 32.3% on July 10.

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Odds on Other Big Brother Housemates

Kamu is another housemate who has been busy in the opening weeks. He recently confronted Jason over secret veto deals. However, it’s away from the house where his popularity has taken the biggest hit. That’s ever since videos surfaced of his reaction to a public arrest. I’m surprised this hasn’t hit his odds on Polymarket harder, as they remain at 8%. 

Angela Murray is another I’d suggest following closely. While she may not win, the Big Brother vet could play a key role in deciding who does. Previous moments from the real estate agent include a verbal attack on Matt Hardeman and a ridiculous reaction to a charcuterie board. Her 4% odds look good at this stage of the game. 

Here’s the current odds on other top housemates on Polymarket:

• Yash Patel: 8% chance
• Mallory Aurichio: 6% chance
• Taylor Brown: 5% chance
• Angela Murray: 5% chance
• Melody Morris: 4% chance

Who Will Be Evicted from Big Brother Next?

Ashley Trail, Rome Seymour, Jason De Puy, and Lyric Medeiros have all bitten the bullet and been evicted from the Big Brother house already. The latter was the most recent, following an 8-3 vote.

Polymarket offers weekly odds on the next elimination. It’s tight between Haley Thogmartin (57% chance) and Angela Murray (48% chance) at the time of writing. So, keep a close eye on the nomination process and other house antics to forecast who could be given the boot next. 

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