16 stories by Lewis Humphries
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize Odds and Predictions
As prediction markets go, the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner is arguably the most speculative. After all, while we know there are 287 candidates registered this year (including 208 individuals and 79 organizations), a 50-year...
MLB World Series Champion Odds: Who Are the Best Value Picks?
We’re now deep into the second half of the 2026 MLB season, with the start of the playoffs now just three weeks away. The American and National Leagues are certainly taking shape, while recent headlines...
2026 Ballon d’Or Odds: Who Are the Best Value Picks?
The formal, 30-man shortlist for the 2026 Ballon d'Or has finally been released, after weeks of speculation. Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Kylian Mbappe, and Lionel Messi are all in contention to win, having attracted...
2026 Midterm Election Odds: The Best Value Prediction Markets
The tumultuous second term of US President Donald Trump is fast approaching another milestone, with the 2026 midterms scheduled for Tuesday, November 3rd. Trump’s Republican party is braced for a tough set of elections this...
F1 Drivers’ Champion Odds: Who are the Prediction Markets Favoring?
We're now exactly halfway through the 2026 Formula 1 season, with a total of 12 races remaining between now and December 4th. Mercedes’ precocious Kimi Antonelli still sits top of the Drivers’ Championship, having won...
World Cup Final Prediction Markets: Odds on the Winner and Golden Boot
As we await the 2026 World Cup final, it’s fair to say that the tournament has exceeded all expectations. With 102 matches played, it has produced the highest goals-per-game ratio (2.91) of any tournament iteration...