ANJ: 60% of France’s Online Gambling Revenue Comes from High-Risk Players

  • French regulator links most online gambling revenue to high-risk players
  • ANJ algorithm identified 600,000 potentially excessive gamblers during 2025
  • Findings intensify scrutiny of gambling industry profit concentration models

New data from France’s gambling regulator, the Autorité Nationale des Jeux (ANJ), suggests that around 60% of online gambling revenue in the country comes from people showing signs of excessive gambling.

France gambling regulator, excessive gambling, online gambling revenue, ANJ, problem gambling data
ANJ’s new gambling risk model suggests industry revenues are heavily concentrated among vulnerable users. The data reinforces concerns about gambling harm and operator dependence on heavy spenders. (Image: AFP/Getty)

A new risk-scoring algorithm identified about 600,000 account-based gamblers with a high probability of excessive play in the second half of 2025.

According to the ANJ, that group represented 8.7% of all account-based players covered by the regulator and generated €1.2 billion in gross gaming revenue, equal to 60% of the total for the monitored market.

The findings appear to support the claim by critics of the gambling industry that a disproportionate portion of its revenues are generated by a relatively small number of customers who may be experiencing harm or loss of control. It also challenges arguments that most revenue comes from recreational users.

Risk Detection Tool

The ANJ has asserted that the tool is not designed to measure prevalence in the way a population survey would and so it doesn’t mean France has 600,000 clinically diagnosed gambling addicts.

But it provides a market-wide benchmark for the regulator to judge whether companies are meeting their legal duties to identify and support vulnerable customers.

The algorithm was built from continuous account-level data supplied by licensed online operators, plus account-based activity at FDJ and PMU, the ANJ revealed.

It uses 23 risk indicators including financial movements, use of gambling limits and moderation tools, frequency and intensity of play, and player history. Each player receives a score and is placed into one of four categories: recreational, moderate risk, excessive, or manifestly excessive.

300,000 ‘Serious Risk’

Roughly 300,000 players fell into the most serious “manifestly excessive” group in the second half of 2025, according to the ANJ. The regulator said those players should be prioritized for intervention.

It also said the overall number of excessive players is rising faster than the number of players, while their share of operator revenue has been climbing steadily since 2023.

The model was developed from 2024 and presented to operators in 2025, according to the ANJ. Its performance was assessed against the Canadian Problem Gambling Index, with oversight from a scientific committee.

The ANJ also said similar work is under way in Spain and the Netherlands but described its own model as the first such tool available in Europe. The regulatory body said that operators have become better at identifying excessive gamblers, flagging 89,000 in 2025 compared with 31,000 the year prior, but this falls far below the numbers suggested by the algorithm.

Philip Conneller
Philip Conneller Senior Reporter

In Philip Conneller’s eight years with Casino.org, he has covered the gaming industry from Las Vegas to Macau and everything in between. He currently focuses his coverage on gaming law, white-collar crime, global money laundering, tribal gaming, politics, and regulation.

Philip was the original features editor for poker’s Bluff Magazine and editor for Bluff Europe, which he helped launch. His writing has also been featured in ESPN, Forbes, Time Out, The Sun, and The Daily Star, as well as iGaming Business, eGaming Review, and numerous other industry news and tech websites.

His news stories for Casino.org/news have been linked by The Washington Post, The Daily Mail, People Magazine, and Jimmy Fallon's Tonight Show, among many others.

Philip once won $20,000 with 7-2 off-suit. He has been reprimanded for unwittingly playing Elton John’s piano on two separate occasions on both sides of the Atlantic.

He became a writer because he is a lousy pianist.

Philip lives outside London with his wife and children, where he spends his time agonizing about Arsenal FC.

Contact Philip at philip.conneller@casino.org.

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