Las Vegas Sands, MGM, Wynn Highlighted by Wells Fargo as COVID-19 Rebound Plays

Several well-known gaming companies are among the consumer discretionary names favored by Wells Fargo, as the bank upgrades the sector, citing an unusual consumer strength.

MGM Wells Fargo
Bellagio Las Vegas. Wells Fargo is bullish on operator MGM and other gaming names. (Image: Robert Mora/Getty Images)

In a note out today, the bank lifts the consumer cyclical sector to “overweight” from “neutral,” noting it hasn’t seen companies emerge from a prior recession as strong as they are coming out of the coronavirus economic lull.

We are upgrading the Consumer Services industry group to Overweight from Neutral based on: (1) the strong near-term outlook for personal consumption expenditures, which should spur a sharp EPS recovery; (2) our preference for high ‘Covid Beta’ and China exposure; and (3) oversold technicals (relative underperformance),” said the bank.

In its bull call on consumer discretionary names, Wells Fargo highlights the familiar issues of increasing COVID-19 vaccinations and pent-up demand as positive catalysts for shares of the casino, hotel, and restaurant operators.

Favoring China Exposure

Wells Fargo is also positive on consumer services names with exposure to China, a box checked with gaming giants Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), and Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN).

Combined, those companies operate nine integrated resorts in the special administrative region (SAR) of Macau. In the cases of LVS and Wynn, those firms rely on the world’s largest casino center for two-thirds or more of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in any given quarter in a normal operating environment.

Macau equities have long been favored by Wall Street over gaming names with heavier Las Vegas exposure, based on the notion that pent-up demand will facilitate a more rapid rebound in the Chinese territory. Signs of that resurgence are emerging, as operators such as LVS and Wynn reported improving EBITDA figures for the final three months of 2020.

Still, visitation to the SAR remains slack. Officials are moving to ameliorate that situation and are actively working with Beijing to improve approval times for Individual Visit Scheme (IVS) scheme visas. The goal is to allow tourists to file IVS requests online. Currently, they must request those permits in person, and approval times span up to two weeks.

Wells Fargo MGM Mention Encouraging

For investors, staff, tourists, and Las Vegas alike, MGM making the cut as one of Wells Fargo’s favored gaming ideas is encouraging for multiple reasons.

The Bellagio operator has the largest footprint on the Strip, and the US gaming mecca accounts for roughly half its EBITDA.

Sin City is highly levered to the themes of consumer strength, increased vaccinations, and pent-up demand. While plenty of work remains to get conventions back to Las Vegas and live entertainment up and running again, MGM took a significant step in the right direction last week, saying that effective March 3, the hotels at Mandalay Bay, The Mirage, and Park MGM will be open seven days a week, 24/7.

MGM and Wynn are both up more than six percent on the Wells Fargo comments, while shares of LVS are higher by more than five percent. The Mirage operator is the best-performing member of the trio since the start of 2021, with a year-to-date gain of 15.58 percent.

Todd Shriber
Todd Shriber Financial Reporter

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron's, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He's also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.

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