NFL Futures: Colts and Patriots Super Bowl Odds Shorten
Posted on: October 29, 2025, 01:47h.
Last updated on: October 29, 2025, 02:31h.
- Patriots and Colts lead the way with notable Super Bowl line movements
- Lots of chatter around Patriots QB Drake Maye for MVP
- Chiefs once again looking more like Super Bowl favorites
Two of the primary narratives on the NFL betting front going into Week 9 of the season boil down to the surprising emergence of the Indianapolis Colts (7-1) and the New England Patriots (6-2).
“The Colts and Patriots are two surprise contenders this year,” said BegMGM Senior Manager Christian Cipollini. “Each has seen their odds to win the Super Bowl shorten after hot starts. Bettors have not shown much interest, and either team winning it all would be an outcome for the sportsbook.”
Notable line movement for Super Bowl as of Wednesday at BetMGM shows the Kansas City Chiefs at +750 to +450, the Detroit Lions at +850 to +600, the Indianapolis Colts at +10000 to +1100, and the New England Patriots at +12500 to +3000.
Chiefs Betting Favorites
The highest ticket percentage at BetMGM are on the Lions (10.8%), the Buffalo Bills (10.2%), and the Baltimore Ravens (8.2%), with the highest handle percentage on the Bills (12.6%), Lions (11.1%), and the Philadelphia Eagles (10.0%).
One notable bet there: Someone at BetMGM bet $10,000 to win $660,000 on Lions-Patriots Super Bowl matchup (+6600).
At ESPN BET, the Chiefs remain Super Bowl favorites at +475, while the Lions shortened from +650 Sunday morning to +600 now after their bye week, and remain the second-best Super Bowl Winner odds.
The Bills announced that DT Ed Oliver is out indefinitely with a torn left biceps, a massive hit impacting their Super Bowl odds.
“As we enter Week 9 of the NFL season, the Kansas City Chiefs are the current Super Bowl favorites, despite a 5-3 record. We are not too surprised by that, although it may look odd to see a three-loss team as the Super Bowl favorite after just eight weeks,” said Joey Feazel, at Caesars Sportsbook. “Right now on a neutral field, the Chiefs would be 2.5-point favorites vs. the Indianapolis Colts.”
Maye With Second Best MVP Odds
The Packers moved from +750 Sunday morning to +700 now, leapfrogging the Bills, who slid from +700 to +800.
The Eagles (were +1000/now +900), Colts (were +1200/now +1000), and Los Angeles Rams (were +1200/now +1000) maintain the next best odds on the board.
Patrick Mahomes remains the regular-season MVP favorite after the weekend (was +135, now +155). Drake Maye still has the second-best odds, shortening from +700 Sunday morning to +400 now, tied with Josh Allen.
Baker Mayfield was +750, now +1300, followed by Daniel Jones at +1400 after entering Sunday at +1800, Matt Stafford (was +1400, now +1400), and Dak Prescott (was +1800, now +7500).
Jonathan Taylor jumped from +4000 to the 7th-best odds at +1600.
Last Comment ( 1 )
The Pats and the colts are not going to beat patty mahomes.