Run, Don’t Walk Away From the “Hard All Day” Sucker Bet

By Scott Roeben, on July 21 2025
3 min read 6 comments
Craps Gambling Las Vegas Las Vegas WTF

Paris Las Vegas has a new craps bet called “Hard All Day” and they are super excited about it!

The thing is, it’s a terrible bet for players. Which is why Paris Las Vegas is so excited about it, obviously.

Don’t be surprised if this bet, with a whopping 21% house edge, shows up at other Caesars Entertainment casinos. Because great ideas catch on like wildfire in Las Vegas!

The math isn’t mathing.

So, what is the “Hard All Day” (or “Hardways All Day”) bet?

It’s a prop (“proposition” or “side”) bet where, if you hit all the hard ways before a seven, you win big!

A hard way is a pair: A hard eight is two fours, as opposed to a six and two (also known as “soft”). The hard ways include the four, six, eight and 10. (Two and 12 can also be rolled as pairs, but they aren’t in the hard way mix.)

To win the “Hard All Day” bet, one must hit all four hard ways before a seven.

If you’ve ever played dice, you know it’s already pretty challenging to hit a hard way before a seven or the soft version of the dice combination. And that’s just one hard way.

Seven is the most commonly-rolled number on the dice.

Before getting into the math, here’s a social media post from Paris promoting the “Hard All Day” bet.

The bet pays 165-to-1.

That sounds great, right? Well, math ruins everything, again.

The probability of winning this bet is 210-to-1.

If the bet should pay $210, why does it pay $165? That, friends, is what’s known as the “vig,” or house edge, the thing that keeps the lights on.

In simple terms, the “Hard All Day” bet is one of the worst in the casino and we advise you to run away.

Here are the official rules (.pdf) from Nevada Gaming, adorned with our custom graphic to remind you what a terrible bet this is, in case you care to read them.

Yes, people still read. It’s weird.

How does a 21% house edge compare to other bets?

Other sucker bets in craps: Fire Bet (21% house edge), All Tall Small (as high as 21% house edge) and Any 7 (17% house edge).

Sometimes, bad bets aren’t necessarily longshots, they just pay poorly compared to the “true” odds.

For example, the Big 6/8 pays even money. The six and eight are pretty commonly rolled numbers. Placing the numbers (giving the chips to the dealer to place the bets directly on the numbers) six or eight pays 7-to-6. It’s the exact same bet, but the house edge goes way up on the Big 6/8. Naturally, that bet is much bigger on the craps layout than just about any other bet.

Big 6 and 8
The best bet in a casino: The odds bet behind the Pass line. There’s no mention of it on the felt.

This goes for most of the one-roll bets, also known as “hop” bets.

The chances of hitting these numbers aren’t terrible (the Any 7 should be easy, as that’s the most commonly rolled number), it’s the payouts that make them sucker bets.

And, yes, it goes without saying, we make sucker bets all the time.

We especially love the hard ways!

That’s because we aren’t playing craps to do math. We’re playing craps to have fun. Fun is the opposite of math.

We would buy one of these T-shirts if they existed.

If these numbers seem out of context, the house edge in baccarat is less than 2%, same for blackjack.

Live keno is the worst casino game, clocking in at a painful 25% house edge (it can be as high as 30%).

The Big 6 wheel can have as much as a 22% house edge, which is why you often see these wheels just inside the entrance of a Strip casino, and why you never see them at locals casinos. Just saying.

Double zero roulette is a paltry 5% by comparison.

In a wild twist, we hear the El Cortez has the “Hard All Day” bet as well. Not exactly a tourist trap.

Craps evolved from the game of Hazard, which is especially relevant given the fact the “Hard All Day” bet could be hazardous to your bank account.

Ultimately, mojo will always win over odds or probability, so if you’re up for a sucker bet, have at it. Just know before you blow. Your money. In case that weren’t obvious.